ATP betting preview: 14/1 Diego Schwartzman the bet in Belgium
After napping back-to-back winners in Tokyo and Shanghai, our betting expert Derek Bilton is hoping to nail down a third straight winning week as he previews the ATP action from Antwerp, Moscow and Stockholm.
British No 1 Kyle Edmund will be hoping to land a maiden ATP title in Antwerp this week, but even though his form during the recent Asian swing was pretty tidy we don’t feel he should be as short at 5/1 in places to triumph in Belgium.
Edmund’s best level is excellent, but he still struggles for consistency and has yet to really kick on following his fabulous run at the Australian Open back in January. He was missing a lot of first serves too in Shanghai so looks best avoided from a punting perspective.
Milos Raonic is the betting favourite in Antwerp, but he’s another player who has been plagued by inconsistency in 2018. At his best Raonic has a serve that can be unplayable and also causes damage with that inside out forehand.
However, apart from a final showing on grass in Stuttgart in June he has not been able to hold it down for a full week all season and looks another one to swerve here.
One player who is of interest though is Diego Schwartzman. The Argentine is usually far more productive on clay but for indoor hard Antwerp plays pretty slow. The surface has clearly been to Schwartzman’s liking in recent years as he’s reached the last two finals here.
‘El Peque’ is one of the smallest players on the Tour, but he’s tenacious and has a fabulous return game. His recent form is admittedly a worry but hopefully he can come alive again in Belgium and at 14/1 he looks worth an each-way interest.
In Stockholm John Isner is the top seed and the betting favourite. However this will be his first tournament since his run to the quarter-finals of the US Open so he could be rusty.
Young guns Denis Shapovalov and Stefanos Tsitsipas are also fancied, but both have played a lot of tennis in recent weeks and don’t make massive appeal at single figure prices.
Instead we like the look of Alex De Minaur, who is now the highest-ranked Australian player on the ATP circuit. The youngster has enjoyed a meteoric rise up the rankings in 2018, and although yet to win a title on the Tour it looks a case of ‘when’ rather than ‘if’.
A brilliant defensive player, De Minaur is also an excellent reader of his opponents’ serve, and can move around the baseline and react to it in next to no time. He’s up to 31 in the world this week – a career high – and won’t fear anyone in this draw.
He starts his campaign with a very winnable match against Philipp Kohlschreiber and could then meet fellow Aussie Mathew Ebden. Stockholm is played on a greenset surface which isn’t lightening fast, so in theory this should suit De Minaur who looks a bit over-priced at 15/1 with 888 Sport.
Finally to Moscow where Daniil Medvedev is favourite to land the Kremlin Cup. His game is in great shape but the main worry for backers would be fatigue, as he has enjoyed a hectic schedule over the past few weeks.
There is much to like about this young Russian though, who has won three ATP titles in 2018 and took a set off Roger Federer in Shanghai last week before losing their quarter-final clash.
Nick Kyrgios is also in Moscow, but going on his recent ‘efforts’ punters should not trust him with a barge pole. The Australian suffered a third contentious Shanghai Masters exit in as many appearances after his efforts in losing against world No 104 Bradley Klahn were described as “borderline” by umpire Damien Dumusois, and his recent work ethic leaves a lot to be desired.
Damir Dzumhur completed the St Petersburg-Moscow double last year, but his recent form has been poor so we fancy the in-form Medvedev, provided he has enough juice left in the tank, to be crowned king of the Kremlin.
Bilko’s Banker: Daniil Medvedev to win the Kremlin Cup at 5/1 (888 Sport)
Best of the Rest #1: Diego Schwartzman to win the European Open at 14/1 (bet365)
Best of the Rest #2: Alex di Minaur to win the Stockholm Open at 15/1 (888 Sport)
More from Tennis365:
‘Novak Djokovic can win the Golden Slam but there are reasons not to do it’, assesses top coach
Novak Djokovic’s 2024 Golden Slam prospects have been analysed.
Rafael Nadal makes honest confession as he discusses comeback expectations
Rafael Nadal has openly discussed his expectations ahead of his 2024 comeback.
Novak Djokovic facing a double threat to his status as world No 1 – but not from Jannik Sinner
Novak Djokovic will need to maintain his remarkable levels of brilliance to hang onto top spot in the rankings.
‘Carlos Alcaraz cannot achieve great results in a diesel mode like Novak Djokovic’, says former ATP star
A former world No 12 has spoken of a “diesel mode” he feels Novak Djokovic possesses.
The 10 biggest ATP Rankings rises in 2023: American star makes stunning 500-place surge
A look at the top 10 biggest movers in the 2023 ATP Rankings.
Toni Nadal makes admission about 2024 French Open belief Rafael Nadal holds
Toni Nadal has spoken about his nephew Rafael Nadal ahead of his comeback.
When will Emma Raducanu make her comeback and where will she be ranked?
Emma Raducanu has been training at the LTA’s National Tennis Centre recently, but her comeback date is unclear.
Cameron Norrie gives five reasons why Carlos Alcaraz is a better player than Jannik Sinner in feisty interview
British No 1 Cameron Norrie gave a compelling insight into the best two young players.
Novak Djokovic heads final UTR rankings of 2023 as two big names miss out on top 10 spot
While the official ATP rankings will always carry plenty of weight, the UTR rankings offers an alternative list.
Legendary coach disagrees with Boris Becker’s comments about Carlos Alcaraz
“I’m still putting my money on [Carlos Alcaraz] next year as a contender for every Grand Slam with [Novak] Djokovic.”