Jannik Sinner to make history with huge rankings milestone and he will soon have Carlos Alcaraz in his sights

Shahida Jacobs
A happy Jannik Sinner
Jannik Sinner of Italy applauds fans after his tennis match

The records continue to tumble for Jannik Sinner as he is set to become the first Italian man to reach the top three in the ATP Rankings and the world No 2 ranking is waving at him.

Sinner continued his unbeaten start to the 2024 season as he followed up his Australian Open title with a run to the final of the Rotterdam Open. In fact, he is now 14 matches unbeaten in top-level tennis as he also won three singles rubbers at the Davis Cup Finals at the end of the 2023 season.

The 22-year-old’s latest win – a 6-2, 6-4 victory over Tallon Griekspoor in the semi-final of the Rotterdam Open – will see him rise to a career-best No 3 in the rankings, although that position will be confirmed either after Sunday’s final or after the Qatar Open.

If Sinner defeats Alex de Minaur in the final of the ATP 500 event in the Netherlands then he will replace Daniil Medvedev at No 3 when the ATP Rankings are updated on Monday.

And it will be by the slimmest of margins as the Italian will move ahead of Medvedev – who opted not to defend his Rotterdam title – by just five points.

ATP Rankings If Sinner Wins Rotterdam Title

Jannik Sinner 8,270 points
Daniil Medvedev 8,265

Should De Minaur win the final then Sinner will remain at No 4 for another week as Medvedev will have a 35-point lead although the Italian would finally move to No 3 the following week.

READ MORE: Australian Open winner Jannik Sinner’s 2024 tennis schedule: Italian makes tweak to his calendar

Medvedev has also opted not to defend his title at the Qatar Open, meaning he will drop another 250 points and, with Sinner having no points to defend in Doha, it would push the Australian Open champion to No 3, making him the first Italian to achieve the feat.

How Sinner Can Replace Alcaraz At No 2

The world No 2 ranking will also be in Sinner’s sights in the next few weeks as Carlos Alcaraz and Daniil Medvedev have a lot of points to defend until after the Sunshine Double in the United States.

After Rotterdam, Sinner “only” has 960 points to defend as he finished runner-up at the Miami Open last year and reached the semi-final of the Indian Wells Open.

Alcaraz, who lost in the semi-final of the Buenos Aires Open on Saturday, has 300 points to defend in Rio, 1,000 in Indian Wells and 360 in Miami, which gives him a tally of 1,660.

Medvedev, meanwhile, will drop 250 points in Doha, 500 points in Dubai (although he has a chance to defend those points as he is on the entry list), 1,000 in Miami and 600 in Indian Wells. The Russian effectively has to defend 2,350 points over the next month and a bit.

Sinner could find himself within a shout of becoming the world No 2 by the end of the Indian Wells Masters if Alcaraz fails to successfully defend his title.