French Open 2024 likely women’s singles seeds: Iga Swiatek top, Sabalenka in pole position for No 2

Iga Swiatek pleased
Iga Swiatek smiling after winning 2023 French Open

Iga Swiatek looks set to be the top seed in the French Open women’s singles draw this year as the Pole gears up for her title defence in Paris.

A three-time champion at Roland Garros, world No 1 Swiatek has a cushion of 3,412 points in the WTA Rankings after her Madrid Open triumph and is nailed on to be the No 1 seed.

However, there are a few key talking points to watch out for, with Italian Open action underway this week.

Sabalenka and Gauff battle for No 2, Rybakina outside threat

Swiatek has dominated Roland Garros recently and is guaranteed to be the top seed at the event.

Sabalenka and Gauff will want to ensure they are on the other side of the draw to her, but only one can guarantee that – and be the second seed.

Currently, Sabalenka is world No 2 and has strengthened her chances of holding onto that ranking before Paris, by reaching the final in Madrid.

She did drop points after failing to defend her crown, meaning Gauff has closed the gap, but the American will need to significantly better Sabalenka’s Rome result to usurp her rival.

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Elena Rybakina strengthened her position as the world No 4 thanks to victory in Stuttgart and her semi-final run in Madrid.

And with world No 5 Jessica Pegula withdrawing from Rome, the Kazakh is set to be the fourth seed at Roland Garros – even if she doesn’t defend her 1,000 points in the Italian capital.

Race for top eight

Below Pegula, a tight battle looks likely to seal the remainder of the top eight seedings.

Maria Sakkari’s failure to defend her semi-final points from Madrid last season has seen her drop to world No 8 this week, with Marketa Vondrousova and Zheng Qinwen leapfrogging her.

And there is a narrow gap between the Greek and world No 9 Ons Jabeur, with the Tunisian able to boost her seeding with a strong run at the Foro Italico.

Read More: Iga Swiatek delivers brilliant line about women’s tennis after epic Madrid Open final win

Muchova out, Kalinina under pressure

Karolina Muchova was a surprise star at the French Open last year, reaching the final despite being unseeded.

But the Czech has not played this season due to injury, and her withdrawal from Roland Garros has now been confirmed.

Muchova is 14th in the WTA Rankings so her withdrawal will have an impact on the draw, potentially pushing someone into the top 32 – and other players into a better seeding bracket.

As it stands, world No 33 Dayana Yastremska would be seeded in the draw, and there could be some significant drops that favour her and players ranked just below her.

Current world No 31 Anhelina Kalinina has finalist points to defend in Rome and is currently set to drop outside the top 50, meaning the pressure is on for her to embark on another deep run.

While 2024 semi-finalist Veronika Kudermetova is currently set to drop to 30th in the live rankings, and could be overtaken if she loses early and players ranked below her go deep.

Top 32 seeds as it stands (as of w/c May 6th 2024)

1) Iga Swiatek, Poland
2) Aryna Sabalenka
3) Coco Gauff, United States
4) Elena Rybakina, Kazakhstan
5) Jessica Pegula, United States
6) Marketa Vondrousova, Czechia
7) Zheng Qinwen, China
8) Maria Sakkari, Greece
9) Ons Jabeur, Tunisia
10) Jelena Ostapenko, Latvia
11) Daria Kasatkina
12) Jasmine Paolini, Italy
13) Beatriz Haddad Maia, Brazil
14) Danielle Collins, United States
15) Madison Keys, United States
16) Liudmila Samsonova
17) Ekaterina Alexandrova
18) Elina Svitolina, Ukraine
19) Marta Kostyuk, Ukraine
20) Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
21) Emma Navarro, United States
22) Caroline Garcia, France
23) Victoria Azarenka
24) Veronika Kudermetova
25) Anna Kalinskaya
26) Barbora Krejcikova, Czechia
27) Katie Boulter, Great Britain
28) Linda Noskova, Czechia
29) Elise Mertens, Belgium
30) Anhelina Kalinina, Ukraine
31) Sorana Cirseta, Romania
32) Dayana Yastremska, Ukraine

Read More: Women who have spent most weeks at No 1 in WTA Rankings: Steffi Graf No 1, Iga Swiatek edges closer to 100 weeks