Angelique Kerber v Serena Williams: Wimbledon final preview, stats and betting
We preview the Wimbledon women’s singles final and give you everything you need to know ahead of Angelique Kerber’s intriguing clash with Serena Williams.
It’s obviously quite hard to judge Serena Williams’ form this year. Firstly, there is so little of it and, secondly, she obviously hasn’t been at the peak of her powers.
That said, she still hasn’t lost many matches!
He sister Venus beat her at Indian Wells back in March and Naomi Osaka dumped her out in the first round of the Miami Open, but no one has beaten her since.
Excluding her ‘defeat’ to Maria Sharapova in the French Open when she withdrew with injury before the match even started, Serena has won 11 of her 13 matches since returning after over a year out to have a baby. Absolutely remarkable.
Angelique Kerber has obviously had a much fuller 2018, but in many ways it has been a case of frustration for the German.
Wimbledon will he her first final since January’s Sydney Open – which she won – though three of her tournaments since have been ended at the semi-final stage.
Head to head
This will be the fourth time these two players have met in a final. In fact, all three of their most recent clashes have been in finals – two of them Grand Slams.
It’s a repeat of the 2016 Wimbledon final, which Williams won 7-5 6-3, but Kerber will be encouraged by her defeat of the American in the Australian Open final in the same year.
Overall, though, Williams has, unsurprisingly, enjoyed the best of the encounters between these two players in the past, winning six of their eight clashes to date.
Interestingly, seven of those eight past meetings have come on hard courts, with Williams’ 2016 success in the Wimbledon final their only ever match on grass.
What they’ve said
Angelique Kerber: “Serena is one of the best players in the world. I mean, we had so many great matches in the last years. Seeing her back, it’s great.
“She is always pushing you to the limits to play your best tennis. This is the only way to beat her.
“Yeah, she’s a fighter. She’s a champion. That’s why she is there where she is now.
“To play well in majors, in the Grand Slams, and to reach the finals again. It’s a great feeling.
“It’s still one more match to go. But, yeah, I think for me it’s great.”
Serena Williams: “This is not inevitable for me.
“I had to have multiple surgeries, and I almost didn’t make it to be honest.
“I remember I couldn’t even walk to my mailbox, so it’s definitely not normal for me to be in a Wimbledon final.
“So I’m taking everything as it is and just enjoying every moment.”
Williams is the favourite with all the bookies, with the 4/9 outright price offered by 888.com reflective of the kind of value you’ll find across the betting board. Meanwhile, Kerber’s 7/4 is unlikely to be generous enough to tempt many into betting against Williams in a Grand Slam final.
One thing that does look unlikely is that Kerber will dominate. If she is to best Williams, then she will probably have to battle for it, making 888’s 5/1 on Kerber to win 2-1 attractive – especially since she’s don it against he before on the biggest stage.
On the other side of the coin, Kerber to start well but be unable to close looks a serious possibility. You don’t win 23 Grand Slams without producing in the big moments of a match, and Williams has dominated those moments over the years.
With that in mind, Bet365‘s 11/2 on Williams to lose the first set yet win the match is a bit of a tempter.
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