Tennis betting preview: Roger Federer and Ashleigh Barty to find a way at Wimbledon

Tennis Betting
Roger Federer Halle press conference PA

It’s nearly time to get your tennis betting sorted for Wimbledon, and for that you need the wisdom of one man – Derek Bilton.

If asked to summarise the 2019 Wimbledon men’s singles draw you’d have to say Rafael Nadal has been given few favours.

Like at Roland Garros, Roger Federer and Nadal could meet in the semi-finals. But before all that there’s a potential blockbuster of a second round clash against Nick Kyrgios to negate.

Kyrgios on Nadal last month:

“Literally my polar opposite and he’s super salty. When he wins it’s fine, but then as soon as I beat him, it’s just like he has no respect for me.”

The pair played in a memorable fourth round encounter at SW19 back in 2014 that was won by the Aussie, who also beat Rafa in Acapulco earlier this year. If the match comes off again fans just need to break out the popcorn – salted of course – and watch the inevitable fireworks.

Nadal was pushed out to 7/1 following the draw and that was no real surprise for while he’s the indisputable ‘King of Clay’ his body of work on grass is far less impressive and he’s not won Wimbledon since 2010.

Defending champ Novak Djokovic has won 15 Grand Slam titles -including four at Wimbledon – and the silky Serb is a hot 7/5 betting favourite again this year, despite the presence of Federer.

Novak Djokovic Wimbledon

The raw stats for the Swiss are extraordinary. 20 Grand Slam titles. Eight Wimbledon titles. Involved in 26 grass court finals during a legendary career that shows no sign of slowing down at 37. And unlike Rafa he’s got a decent draw.

Federer will begin his tournament with what looks a routine outing against South Africa’s Lloyd Harris and he’s avoided plenty of potential banana skins having been pitched in the bottom half. If the seeds holds there’s a projected quarter-final clash with Kei Nishikori (in which he would start as a big betting favourite) and then Nadal, possibly, in the last four. The head says Djokovic but the heart says Federer could be a play at 100/30 given his achievements on grass and his plum draw.

It’s truly mind blowing to think that there’s been no winner outside of the ‘Big Four’ of Federer, Djokovic, Nadal or Andy Murray since 2002. Could someone like Stefanos Tsitsipas break through this year?

The Greek starlet – a 19/1 shot with 888 Sport – has been tipped for the top ever since becoming the youngest player to beat four top-10 players at a single tournament, which he achieved at the Rogers Cup last year.

And what of 18-year-old Felix Auger-Aliassime? The big Canadian beat top seed Tsitsipas to reach the semi-finals of Queen’s recently and showed glimpses of greatness in that match.

His dramatic rise up the rankings has been such that he has yet to win a main draw Grand Slam singles match! That should change over the next few weeks however. And just like Boris Becker smashed a path to Wimbledon glory as a teenager with his booming serve and fearless athleticism in the 1980s, Auger-Aliassime has the raw materials to do likewise and looks worth nibbling for a few quid each-way at 33/1.

The women’s singles event looks a lot more open. Indeed the last 10 Grand Slams have seen no less than nine different female winners.

Naomi Osaka, the Australian Open champion, is one of the hottest properties in the game but has not done a great deal since her super show in Melbourne. Her draw is OK however and she will have her backers.

Naomi Osaka

The brilliant Serena Williams in an 8/1 chance but she’s in a stacked quarter. Indeed it might just be one of the toughest quarters in Grand Slam history with new World No. 1 Ashleigh Barty, defending Wimbledon champion Angelique Kerber, Williams and former SW19 champions Garbine Muguruza and Maria Sharapova all in there.

With injury concerns for two-time champion Petra Kvitova, opportunity knocks for Kiki Bertens in the second quarter and the Belgian looks ridiculously overpriced at 22/1 and will carry some of our each-way money.

In terms of a winner though Barty looks the pick. The 23-year-old Queenslander won her 12th straight match and her sixth career WTA singles title in Birmingham recently and raced to victory that week without dropping a set.

It was her third title of the season, a season that included a breakthrough Grand Slam victory at the French Open.

Not bad for someone who gave up tennis in late 2014 to play cricket before returning to the sport in 2016. She’s on a real roll right now and 6/1, even with a nightmare draw, looks value given how she’s been blowing opponents away in recent weeks.

Bilko’s Men’s Banker: Roger Federer to win Wimbledon at 100/30
Best of the Rest: Felix Auger-Aliassime each-way to win Wimbledon at 33/1
Bilko’s Women’s Banker:  Ashleigh Barty to win Wimbledon at 6/1 
Best of the Rest: Kiki Bertens each-way to win Wimbledon at 22/1

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