2020 US Open men’s final info, recent form, betting and preview: Dominic Thiem v Alexander Zverev

US Open
Alexander Zverev v Dominic Thiem

One is a three-time Grand Slam runner-up, the other is a first-time major finalist. One has dropped only one set en route to the final, the other has dropped six sets. Will Dominic Thiem be the last man standing after the US Open men’s final or will Alexander Zverev be the one holding aloft the trophy.

Dominic Thiem
Age: 27
World ranking: 3
Career-high ranking: 3
Career singles titles: 0
Grand Slam titles: 0

Alexander Zverev
Age: 23
World ranking: 7
Career-high ranking: 3
Career singles titles: 0
Grand Slam titles: 0

Recent form

Thiem’s US Open build-up was far from great as he lost in the first round of the Western & Southern Open. Before the tennis break, he reached the quarter-final of the Rio Open and, of course, lost the Australian Open final against Novak Djokovic.

As for the US Open itself, he produced some great displays against Daniil Medvedev, Alex De Minaur, Felix Auger-Aliassime and Marin Cilic. In fact, Cilic was the only player to take a set off him.

Zverev’s also made a first-round exit from the Cincinnati tournament against Andy Murray. Outside of the two Grand Slams – he lost in the semi-final of the Australian Open against Thiem – he only won one singles game this year, at the Mexican Open in March.

So far at Flushing Meadows he has played one five-setter (in the semi-final against Pablo Carreno Busta), four four-setters and one three-setter.

Head-to-head

The pair have met nine times at ATP Tour level and Thiem dominates the H2H as he has won seven encounters, including a 3-6, 6-4, 7-6 (7-3), 7-6 (7-4) win at their most recent clash at the Australian Open.

In fact, the Austrian has won their last three encounters with Zverev’s last win a 6-4, 6-4 victory in Madrid in 2018.

They’ve met three times in Grand Slams and Thiem won all three of those matches.

What they’ve said

Dominic Thiem: “I won’t change my mindset at all – I know what Sascha is capable of. From the moment that Novak was out of the tournament, it was clear that there is going to be a new Grand Slam champion. From that moment on, it was out of my mind.

“Now it’s just Sascha remaining – the last one. He is a hell of player, one of the greatest in the last few years, and has won all the titles besides a major. For me it doesn’t really matter whether it is him or one of the big three.”

Alexander Zverev: “Obviously happy to be in a final. But as I said in the previous question, there’s still one more step to go. For me, I think it’s going to be extremely difficult. Both of those guys deserve to be in the final. That’s it.

“I mean, if I play Dominic, we played an epic in Australia. If I play Daniil, we had some great matches as well. No matter who it’s going to be, it’s going to be a new Grand Slam champion, but it’s going to be also a very difficult match I think.”

Betting

Unsurprisingly Thiem is the clear favourite to win and the best you are going to get is 5/19. You can get Alexander Zverev at 13/4 to win on Sunday evening.

Thiem is 5/4 with Bet365 to win in three sets while Zverev is 17/2 to win another five-setter.

Conclusion

Dominic Thiem has been here before, in fact he has been here on three occasions and as recently as this year’s Australian Open. On top of that he has been in blistering form throughout the tournament.

Zverev, on the other hand, has struggled throughout the tournament, but he does have some big match temperament as he has beaten the likes of Roger Federer and Novak Djokovic in finals.

However, it is Thiem’s trophy to lose.

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Alexander Zverev Dominic Thiem

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